Table 2. The probabilities of ten mutually exclusive outcomes for a best-of-three tiebreak sets match won by player A, when PA = PB = 0.6 and D = 0.1.
First set Second set Third set Probability
aAeven aAeven or odd .1290
aAodd bAeven or odd
aAeven aBeven aAeven or odd .0384
aAeven aBodd bAeven or odd .0225
aAodd bBeven bAeven or odd .0322
aAodd bBodd aAeven or odd .0367
aBeven aAeven aAeven or odd .0384
aBeven aAodd bAeven or odd .0384
aBodd bAeven bAeven or odd .0268
aBodd bAodd aAeven or odd .0179
TOTAL .5091