| Downgrade factor | Upgrading factor | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Study limitation | Inconsistency | Imprecision | Indirectness | Reporting bias | Effect size | Dose-response | |
| Description | Evidence base contains < 30% of all participants from studies rated overall low risk of bias (low quality in seven or more of the ten domains). | Pooled estimate has substantial or considerable heterogeneity (I2 > 50%), OR there is large variability in point estimates across studies, with estimates varying in direction and little or no overlap of confidence intervals. | 95%CI are excessively wide about the pooled effect estimate, OR evidence base contains few studies with small populations and most provide imprecise estimates. | Differences in population, exposure, or outcome thought to substantially alter pooled estimate, limiting applicability and generalizability. | Evidence of reporting deficiencies and publication bias from funnel plot and Egger's test if ≥ 10 studies, OR the relationship has not been repeatedly investigated (< 10 studies). | Moderate to large pooled effect estimate (OR > 2.5). | Evidence of a well-defined pattern (linear or otherwise) suggesting an exposure response gradient is present. |
| Exception | Unless sensitivity analysis restricted to studies rated overall low risk of bias explains methodological heterogeneity. Then, report pooled estimate from overall low risk of bias studies. | Unless subgroup analyses explain clinical heterogeneity in pooled estimate. Then, report estimates from each subgroup. | |||||
| Levels of confidence in the certainty of evidence | |||||||
| High | We have high confidence in the estimate: the true measure of association likely lies close to that of the estimate. | ||||||
| Moderate | We have moderate confidence in the estimate: the true measure of association is likely close to the estimate, but possibly substantially different. | ||||||
| Low | We have low confidence in the estimate: the true measure of association may differ substantially from the estimate. | ||||||
| Very low | We have very low confidence in the estimate: the true measure of association will likely differ substantially from the estimate. | ||||||
| Inconsistent | We could not conclude a consistent result based on all the investigations. | ||||||
| Limited | Only one study was included in the outcome. | ||||||