In a landmark study, Nixon et al., 1992 determined factors that are associated with an eight year survival rate of 109 young patients with CF. They found a significant correlation between peak oxygen uptake (VO2peak) and survival at eight years. Thus, becoming the first study to report an association between the aerobic capacity of children, adolescents and young adults with CF and survival over an eight year period. Nixon and colleagues reported that VO2peak was a strong predictor of survival, even after adjustment to other prognostic variables such as age, sex, lung function, bacterial colonisation and nutritional status. Patients with a high level of fitness (≥ 82 % predicted VO2peak) had a 83 % chance of survival at eight years, compared to a 51 % and 28 % chance of survival for patients with medium (59-81 % predicted VO2peak) and low fitness (≤ 58 % predicted VO2peak), respectively. These data, however, do not establish a cause and effect relationship. Aerobic capacity may not be an indictor of the patient’s overall health. Nevertheless, the study showed that aerobic capacity could be used as a strong predictor of survival in these patients. A recent study by Pianosi et al., 2005, however, is the first to investigate both the utility of VO2peak and decline of VO2peak as a predictor of survival. Twenty-eight children aged 8 to 17 years, over a five-year period performed annual pulmonary function and maximal exercise tests to determine FEV1 and VO2peak. The magnitude of the change in the young patients’ FEV1 and VO2peak over time, and survival over the subsequent 7 to 8 years were used to determine their significance as predictors of survival. Pianosi and colleagues reported that the measurement of VO2peak from maximal exercise tests were significant predictors of patient survival. Furthermore, during the observation period a mean annual decline in VO2peak of 2.1 mL.kg-1.min-1 was reported in 70 % of the patients. A dramatic increase in survival over the subsequent 7 to 8 years was seen in patients whose VO2peak exceeded 45 mL.kg-1.min-1. In contrast, patients with a VO2peak less than 32 mL.kg-1.min-1 showed a survival rate of 60 % over the subsequent 7 to 8 years. The FEV1 was also reported as a significant predictor of survival. The patients’ first and last measurement of FEV1 over five years and rate of decline in FEV1 over the time period were all significant predictors of mortality. Previous studies investigating the prognostic value of exercise testing in young CF patients have placed much emphasis on the assessment of VO2peak to predict outcomes such as functional capacity, disease severity and survival. Other physiological assessments derived through exercise testing have been neglected. The oxygen uptake (VO2) kinetics during exercise and recovery, carbon dioxide (CO2) retention, oxygen desaturation and muscle strength can all be assessed through exercise testing and may all have prognostic value. Researchers are now focusing attention on other physiological assessments derived from exercise testing that may hold prognostic significance, other than VO2peak alone. Furthermore, researchers are using more sophisticated techniques to model the VO2 kinetic responses from exercise in CF patients. Hebestreit et al., 2005 has investigated the VO2 kinetics at the onset of exercise in patients with CF. Eighteen CF patients and 15 healthy controls aged 10-33 years completed two to four transitions from low-intensity cycling at 20 W to cycling at 1.3-1.4 W.kg-1 body weight. VO2 data from the submaximal exercise tasks were modelled interpolated second by second, time aligned and averaged. Monoexponential equations were used to describe phase II responses. Hebestreit and colleagues reported no significant differences in the amplitude in the model of the phase II VO2 response between the CF patients and healthy controls; however, the time constant tau was significantly prolonged in the CF patients. Thus, demonstrating a slower VO2 kinetic response in patients with CF. Recent work by Pouliou et al., 2001 investigated the VO2 kinetics during early recovery from maximal exercise in adult patients with CF. Pouliou and colleagues reported that the VO2 kinetics following maximal exercise is prolonged in adult CF patients when compared to healthy adults, and that the prolonged recovery is closely related to the Schwachman score (r = 0.81; P < 0.001), a widely accepted system of clinical evaluation to assess disease severity. The VO2 kinetics following maximal exercise was also significantly correlated to other indexes of functional capacity such as FEV1 (r = 0.90; P < 0.001) and VO2peak (r = 0.81; P < 0.001). This novel approach to health assessment offers, from a clinical view, an exercise assessment that is independent from effort and physical fitness. Pouliou and colleagues used a linear regression model to evaluate the VO2 kinetics for the first minute of the recovery period. However, no rationale was given to suggest why a linear model would fit the response. The linear model used by Pouliou et al. does not identify the slow phase of the recover period and, furthermore, may only identify 40 % of the fast phase. Assessment of the VO2 kinetics during recovery can be used even with submaximal exercise, which is important for debilitated CF patients who cannot produce maximal exercise performances. Furthermore, data from maximal exercise testing may not be reproducible, is dependent on patient motivation and the criteria used by the clinician to terminate the test. Javadpour et al., 2005 recently examined CO2 retention during exercise testing, and discovered it had an association with a rapid decline in lung function. Children with CF aged 11 to 15 years performed annual pulmonary function and exercise testing over a three-year period. CO2 retention was defined as a rise of ≥ 5 mm Hg end tidal CO2 from the first work rate until the peak work rate, and a failure to reduce end CO2 after the peak work rate by 3 mm Hg by the termination of exercise. Using this definition of CO2 retention Javadpour and colleagues reported that children with CF who were found to have CO2 retention on exercise testing showed a faster rate of decline in FEV1 when compared to those who did not retain CO2. The decline in FEV1 between patients who retained CO2 and patients who showed no CO2 retention during exercise over a 12 month period was reported as -3.2 % (SD 1.1) and -2.3 % (SD 0.9), respectively. After 24 months the decline was reported as -6.3 % (SD 1.3) and -1.8 % (SD 1.1), respectively. Finally, after 36 months the decline in FEV1 was -5.3 % (SD 1.2) and -2.6 % (SD 1.1), respectively. Both patients who retained CO2 during exercise and those who showed no CO2 retention started the study with similar baseline FEV1, 62 % and 64 % predicted, respectively. The overall decline in FEV1 was, however, 14.8 % (SD 2.1) and 6.7 % (SD 1. 8), respectively. The study suggests that children with CF with a similar degree of pulmonary disease as measured by FEV1, if found to have CO2 retention on exercise testing, will have a greater decline in FEV1 over a three year period than children with CF who do not retain CO2. This shows the identification of CO2 retention during exercise can be an additional prognostic marker of disease progression in children with CF. Furthermore, as FEV1 is closely associated with survival in this patient group, CO2 retention during exercise testing will help identify those patients who may require more intensive therapy to prevent this increased rate in pulmonary decline. |