Table 3.
Multivariate model predicting the total of the team batting first.
Variable
Estimate
P-value
Partial R
2
Ave. MOV against opposition
.13 ± .04
<.0001
9.7%
Exp. Smooth past totals 1
st
inning battingteam
.25 ± .04
<.0001
3.6%
Ave. total conceded in 1
st
inning by bowling team
.53 ± .06
<.0001
2.6%
Home Country
15.3 ± 2.3
<.0001
1.6%
Ave. MOV ever
.31 ± .05
<.0001
1.1%
Exp. Smooth past totals 1
st
inning at venue
.38 ± .05
.0004
.5%
Total R
2
19.1 %