Table 2.
The probabilities of ten mutually exclusive outcomes for a best-of-three tiebreak sets match won by player A, when PA = PB = 0.6 and D = 0.1.
First set
Second set
Third set
Probability
aAeven
aAeven or odd
.1290
aAodd
bAeven or odd
aAeven
aBeven
aAeven or odd
.0384
aAeven
aBodd
bAeven or odd
.0225
aAodd
bBeven
bAeven or odd
.0322
aAodd
bBodd
aAeven or odd
.0367
aBeven
aAeven
aAeven or odd
.0384
aBeven
aAodd
bAeven or odd
.0384
aBodd
bAeven
bAeven or odd
.0268
aBodd
bAodd
aAeven or odd
.0179
TOTAL
.5091